A familiar Florida bloodbath will be held when the sun goes down at Sun Life Stadium when the Miami Hurricanes host the Florida State Seminoles Saturday at 8:00 PM ET. The FSU vs Miami Odds have the 10th ranked Seminoles (6-1 SU 2-4 ATS) sporting a fat 3 TD pricetag over UM after disposing of B.C last week 51-7 as -29 point home favorites. Miami (4-3 SU 4-3 ATS) is licking their wounds after a heartbreaking 14-18 home loss to N.C. as +7.5 dogs in a game where they lost starting QB Stephen Morris to an ankle injury. Below is an in depth look at this in-state rivalry from our week 8 college football picks experts. FSU vs Miami Odds have Miami at +20.5 at -110 juice on the spread.
Week 8 College Football Picks Analysis: Most talking heads on the boob tube are predicting a blowout because of Vegas’s bloated point spread but Miami’s recent losses are a bit misleading. The public still has UM’s nationally televised 3-41 week 6 blowout loss to Notre Dame fresh in the memory bank but Miami is notorious for playing poorly in cold weather. Miami outplayed the Tar Heels last week and should have pulled off an outright upset last week as +260 moneyline underdogs at home. A still developing Orange and Green bunch plays much better at home and FSU already has a loss on the highway. FSU’s blowout win over B.C. last week has dimmed the memory of Florida State choking in a week 6 loss to N.C. State. FSU’s 2nd ranked defense could also be surprised by a Miami offense that boasts gamebreakers at the skill positions. Last week Miami RB Mike James had a career game and he combines with explosive frosh Duke Johnson to form a potent duo. FSU vs Miami Odds Over/Under is at 56.5 points.
Ten of the last eleven Miami vs FSU games have been decided by a TD or less which is an attractive trend to follow with a boatload of points for Miami backers. Much is being made of UM losing starting QB Stephen Morris but his actual value on the spread is only 1.5-2.0 points with capable Memphis transfer Ryan Williams (9-13 80 yards last week) behind the helm. Williams is a tall kid (6’6″) who put up decent numbers at Memphis (13 TD-10 INT 57% completion) and ‘Canes fans are hoping that he can rekindle some magic in the same #11 jersey that was worn by UM great Ken Dorsey. Coaching and special teams are two departments where Miami can hold steady with FSU and a raucous night crowd are all ATS nuggets for UM. High-profile Seminoles QB E.J. Manuel can also be careless with the football and Miami should hold their own in the turnover battle with a secondary that can snatch picks. FSU vs Miami Odds Moneyline is Miami +950.
Week 8 College Football e Picks Play: Miami +20.5 ($3000 to win $2700)
Football Picks Record ATS: 66-50 (56.90%)