November 30th, 2013
Cameron Wake leads Miami who is +2 on the Vegas Odds
Sunday in a crucial NFC East match-up the New York Jets will host the Miami Dolphins at 1 PM ET from East Rutherford, NJ. Dolphins vs Jets Vegas Odds opened at Jets -1 but has inflated to -2.Miami (5-6 SU 6-5 ATS) hung tough against NFC juggernaunt Carolina but lost 16-20 in the final seconds of week 12. New York (4-6 SU 6-5 ATS) is coming off consecutive road losses with the offense unable to get anything going in a 3-19 loss at Baltimore in week 12. Dolphins vs Jets Vegas Odds have Miami as +115 (Wager $1000 to win $1150) underdogs at Carbon Sports
Week 13 NFL Picks Analysis: Miami has surprised despite the circus surrounding the team and new O-line addition Bryant McKinnie (6’8″ 360 Lb.) has helped solidify the offensive line at LT. The ‘Phins front will also receive a boost with All-Pro center Mike Pouncey returning to the lineup after missing the last two games. New York could be without #1 CB Antonio Cromartie who is ailing with a hip injury. Cromartie’s injury could provide a match-up advantage for Miami WR Mike Wallace (4.35 40-speed 40″ vertical leap) against Jets CB Dee Milliner. New York QB Geno Smith (4.55 40-speed) has thrown the ball very poorly of late (1 TD-10 INT last six games) and will be handing off to banged up starting RB Chris Ivory (ankle). Jets backup RB Bilal Powell (3.9 YPC 1 TD) has been very ordinary.
The Jets have played well at home (4-1 SU 4-1 ATS)) but Miami knows this is a must win and have the better signal-caller in Ryan Tannehill. New York has been blown out in a few games this year and Miami has been more consistent overall. On special teams New York has the slight edge at kicker but otherwise are even. Miami’s suffocating pass-rush led by Cameron Wake should force erratic Jets QB Smith into costly turnovers that will swing the game in Miami’s favor. Smith’s best target Santonnio Holmes also is not 100% with a hamstring injury. Dolphins vs Jets Vegas Odds Total is at 40.0 points.
Week 13 NFL Picks Play: Miami +2
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Dolphins vs Jets Tale-Of-The-Tape
Special Teams: C+/B
Match-Up: NY +3
Injuries: MIA +1.5
Weather: NY +.5
Home-Field: NY +3.5
Vegas Sports Picks Line: NY -3
November 28th, 2013
Andrew Luck led Colts are -4.5 home “chalk” on the Vegas Odds
Sunday in a critical AFC South divisional battle the Indianapolis Colts will host the Tennessee Titans at 1 PM ET from the RCA Dome. Titans vs Colts Vegas Odds spread opened at -4 but has inflated to -4.5. Indianapolis -Indy (7-4 SU 6-5 ATS) is coming off an embarrassing 11-40 loss on the road to Arizona. Tennessee (5-6 SU 6-4-1 ATS) showed heart in a 23-19 win over Oakland to remain in the wildcard hunt. Our NFL Picks week 13 staff broke down the sides. Titans vs Colts Vegas Odds have underdog Tennessee at +177 (Wager $1000 to win $1770) at Carbon Sports
NFL Picks Week 13 Analysis: These teams met two weeks ago in Tennessee with the Colts able to escape with a 30-27 win as -2.5 road favorites. In the return bout Tennessee will be without arguably their best defensive player in FS Michael Griffin who is suspended. Andrew Luck has not been the same since he lost All-Pro WR Reggie Wayne but burner T.Y. Hilton (4.35 40-speed) should exploit Griffin’s absence in the secondary. The Titans defense will get their hits in on Luck but the Colts strong-running game led by Donald Brown (will help ease the pressure. Titans vs Colts Vegas Odds Total is at 45.0 points.
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Indianapolis can take control of the division with a win and should be able to do so with the superior signal-caller under center in Andrew Luck. The Colts have a healthy +3.5 home field edge in the RCA Dome where their players are better suited. Tennessee star RB Chris Johnson is hot and cold and if he is cold QB Ryan Fitzpatrick is going to get hammered by Indy’s pass-rushers. Bet Indy at home to cover this short spread.
NFL Picks Week 13 Play: Indianapolis -4.5
Titans vs Colts Vegas Odds Tale-Of-The-Tape
Special Teams: C-
Special Teams: C
November 15th, 2013
Andre Ward vs Edwin Rodriguez Vegas Odds have Ward as heavy -1400 “chalk”
Saturday on HBO Boxing pound-4-pound elite pugilist Andre Ward will return from a 14-month layoff to face undefeated contender Edwin Rodriquez. Andre Ward vs Edwin Rodriguez Vegas Odds have Ward at -1400 with 80% of Vegas Sports Picks action on Rodriguez. Ward, 26-0, 14 KO’s, is coming off arguably is best performance, a 10th round knockout over top-contender Chad Dawson. Rodriguez, 24-0, 16 KO’s, was also impressive in his last outing, a 1st round blowout over top-20 contender Denis Grachev. Our fight picks experts broke down this W.B.A. super-middleweight title bout. Andre Ward vs Edwin Rodriguez Vegas Odds have Rodriguez as a +1100 underdog (Wager $1000 to win $11,000) at Carbon Sports
Andre “Son Of God” Ward: Brilliant Boxer/Counterpuncher Andre Ward can do it all inside the squared circle. Ward is equally adept at boxing at range, counterpunching or working inside with great skill and timing. Ward is similar to Floyd Mayweather Jr. both stylistically and cerebral with the ability to make adjustments during the fight. Super slick with sound footwork, Ward is an elusive target with a multi-layered defense. Tested against the division’s best, “Son Of God” has proven that he can handle any boxing style. Coming off a 14-month layoff following shoulder surgery, Ward’s physical soundness is still up in the air. Ward has been on the canvas before and rumor has it that his knees are shot, making his ability to take a punch to the chin questionable. Andre Ward vs Edwin Rodriguez Vegas Odds Total is at 9.5 Rounds with the Over at -340.
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Edwin “La Bamba Rodriguez: Edwin Rodriguez is a young, hungry and determined contender with power in both hands. Rodriguez is an athletic puncher built with long arms (76″ reach) and a good left hook. Equipped with a strong chin and big heart “La Bamba” is a tough man to KO. On the downside Rodriguez has spotty defense and tendency to loop his punches making him vulnerable to counters. Despite wins over some good names the Dominican fighter’s resume is a little light. Despite his good athleticism, Rodriguez only displays one gear in the ring that is more Honda than Ferrari.
Fight Picks Play: Andre Ward -1100